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The production of organic silicone monomer in the world is mainly concentrated in North America, Western Europe and Japan. The world’s top 6 companies have 81.2% of organic silicon production capacity. With the acquisition of the organic silicon business of French Rhodia Group by Bluestar Group, the production capacity of organic silicon in China will increase significantly to 550,000 tons/year, which will account for 21% of the world's total production capacity. Bluestar Group will have a capacity of 420,000 tons/year and become the third largest organic silicon monomer producer in the world. Due to the monopoly of production technology of organic silicon monomers and downstream products, it is expected that the production of silicone monomers and high value-added products will continue to be controlled by several major companies for a long time to come.
At present, the trend of the whole industry is that the organic silicon monomer is the foundation of the organic silicon industry, and the silicon organic product with the highest technical barrier is the highest added value in the industrial chain. Due to the gap in technology, the barriers to entry of high value-added products in the downstream are relatively large, and the capacity expansion rate is relatively slow. As a result, the business cycle of the silicone industry is longer than that of the general industry.
Organic fluorine: downstream development is the mainstream
Environmental and fluorite resources are two major bottlenecks in the development of organic fluorochemicals. Therefore, companies with environmental capacity and fluorite resources have the foundation for organic fluorine fine chemicals. Fluorite resources, accounting for two-thirds of the world's reserves, are the advantages of the domestic fluorine chemical industry. The production of organic fluorine products in the world has shifted to China. Organic fluorine chemicals include CFC (chlorofluorocarbon) and its substitutes, fluoropolymers, and fluorine fine chemical products. The latter two are the direction of deep processing of organic fluorine.
The Chinese government decided to completely stop the production and use of CFCs starting from July 1, 2007. Before that, CFC production will be cut down as planned and according to quotas. At present, the competition in the field of domestic CFC substitutes has intensified, and the prices of major products have dropped by a certain extent. In order to avoid product risks, some companies have extended the chain of organic fluorine chemical products to produce high value-added downstream fine chemical products such as polytetrafluoroethylene, polyvinyl fluoride propylene, fluorine rubber, polyvinylidene fluoride, and perfluorooctanoic acid.
Engineering Plastics: The Chinese market has a bright future
Compared with general plastics, engineering plastics can meet higher requirements in terms of mechanical properties, heat resistance, durability, corrosion resistance, etc., and the processing is more convenient. It can replace metals and other materials, and thus it can be used in automobiles and communication equipments. Building materials, household appliances and even aerospace have a wide range of uses. Polyamide (PA), polycarbonate (PC), polyoxymethylene (POM), polyphenylene oxide (PPE) and thermoplastic polyester resin (PBT) have been widely referred to as the five engineering plastics for their wide application and excellent performance.
In recent years, certain breakthroughs have been made in the field of engineering plastics in China through the introduction of technology, but there are still gaps in high-end products and technologies. Therefore, most of the demand for engineering plastics in China needs to be met by imports. The average import volume in the past three years has increased by more than 20% annually. Polycarbonate and POM almost all rely on imports. More than half of PBT imports depend on imports.
In 2005, the total market demand for China's engineering plastics was about 1.08 million tons, and by 2010 it will total 1.67 million tons. In the past six years, with the rapid development of the optical disc, building materials, and packaging markets, the demand for PCs in China has grown at a rate of 27%, and the demand for PCs in 2006 is expected to be 820,000 tons. However, due to technical barriers in China, there are no production devices and the demand is all dependent on imports. Taking into account the strong market demand for engineering plastics in China, domestic and foreign companies have started to plan and build engineering plastics projects. Whoever can preemptively put engineering plastics into production in China will be the first to occupy the broad market of China.
New Carbon Materials: Breaking Through Technology Barriers Will Be Developed
The new carbon material is a generic name for a class of carbon materials that is different from conventional carbon materials and has a special irreplaceable important position in the entire material science. Compared with common carbon materials, it has unique structure, excellent performance, broad application prospects and fields, reflects the flexible use of material design concepts, and is currently the forefront of research and development of carbon material industry. The production of new carbon materials has relatively high technical barriers, and the external dependence of products is high and demand exceeds supply. Therefore, domestic manufacturers with related technologies will obtain higher economic benefits, and the market is optimistic about carbon fiber, spherical activated carbon, and super activated carbon. High value-added new carbon materials.
Carbon fiber is a typical representative of carbon materials, which is of great significance to the adjustment of China's industrial structure and the replacement of traditional materials, and has an important impact on the defense industry and the national economy. In the world of carbon fiber industry with the recovery of the aviation industry and the rise of new energy, the lack of domestic carbon fiber production capacity and long-term dependence on imports, with the breakthrough of carbon fiber precursor technology, the domestic carbon fiber industry will usher in rapid development. At present, a few domestic companies have independently developed and innovated and successfully produced high-quality PAN-based carbon fiber precursors. It is expected that China's carbon fiber industry, which has escaped the control of foreign raw silk, will usher in rapid development.
Modified Plastics: R&D and Professional Services
Modified plastics refer to the process of filling, blending, and strengthening of general-purpose plastics, so that they have properties such as flame retardancy and high impact resistance. At present, the modified plastic has become the new power for the sustainable development of the plastics industry, and is widely used in home appliances, automobiles, power tools, office equipment, electronic appliances, toys and other industries. China's modified plastics industry currently has about 2 million to 3 million tons of annual demand, and will maintain a 15% growth rate in the coming years. However, the characteristics of the modified plastics industry have determined that only those companies with outstanding research and development capabilities can be positioned in the professional services industry to gain a place in the modified plastics industry and continue to develop.
MDI: Market Trends in Supply and Demand
With the fluctuation of crude oil prices and the rapid growth rate of polyurethane, the obvious characteristics of polyurethane raw material markets such as MDI (diphenylmethane diisocyanate) in the past two years are tight supply and demand, insufficiency in supply, and significant price fluctuations. At the same time, due to China's huge market capacity and rapidly growing market demand, it has brought a new round of investment boom for global MDI manufacturers in China. The release of MDI production capacity in the next few years has been inevitable, but demand will also maintain a certain growth, mainly because the demand for building insulation will continue to grow. It is expected that in the next three years, the supply and demand of MDI will gradually move towards a balance. By 2008, the domestic demand will reach 750,000 tons.
Silicone: Profits Concentrated Downstream