Market Analysis of Tractors and Market Forecast in 2012

China One is a unit of the chairman of the Tractor Market Branch of the China Agricultural Machinery Circulation Association. It is commissioned by the Information Consultation Department of the China Agricultural Machinery Circulation Association and represents the branch's analysis of the tractor market situation.

First, the basic situation of the tractor market in recent years With the rapid development of China's agriculture, rural economy, the tractor market has shown a good development trend. Especially since 2004, the tractor market has been driven by a series of agricultural and agro-industry policies, including the implementation of the national agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy for many years, the promulgation of the "Agricultural Mechanization Promotion Law," and the "promoting agriculture by farming, bringing the township by town". With the continuous expansion of scale, continuous expansion of manufacturing and distribution companies, further enhancement of competitiveness, and further optimization of the demand structure, the tractor market has ushered in unprecedented opportunities for development.

(I) The tractor market showed a pattern of diversified development 1. The rapid growth in sales of large and medium-sized tractors and sales, steady sales of small wheel tractors and steady growth in the purchase of agricultural machinery, and other favorable policies continued to drag the big drag from 29,000 in 2004 to The 126,000 units in 2010 increased more than threefold in six years; the number of medium trailers increased from 65,000 units in 2004 to 189,000 units in 2010, nearly doubled in six years, and sales maintained rapid growth.

Due to changes in demand and alternatives, the sales of small four-wheel tractors have generally declined in recent years, from 524,000 units in 2004 to 318,000 units in 2010.

2. Large, medium, and small tow presents different life cycles. Large and medium-sized wheel drags: In recent years, the market for large and medium-sized wheeled tugs has been more and more pronounced by the agricultural machinery subsidy policy, showing obvious rigid demand. In the domestic market, the medium and large wheeled tugs industry is in a growing period, with continuous upgrading of production technology, strong market demand, and an increase in the amount of ownership.

After the development of nearly 30 years, with the changes in market structure and user demand, sales volume in recent years has been declining year by year, the industry has entered a period of recession, but it is pregnant with new changes. The large amount of public ownership of the small wheel trailers, upgrading, adding new functions, and expanding the use of small trailers are the major trends in the market demand for small wheel carriers.

(II) The market demand structure has been further optimized, and the power continues to expand. Under the influence of factors such as the reduction of rural labor force, rising labor costs, land circulation, large-scale production, and agricultural machinery purchase subsidies, the demand structure of the tractor market has undergone significant changes. Drag the middle wheel drag instead of the middle wheel drag instead of the small wheel drag. From the point of view of the entire demand structure, small-wheel tractors of more than 20 horsepower, 25-39 horsepower medium-wheel tractors, and 90-99-horsepower tractors became the main force in the market. Demand for wheel trailers below 20 hp, 60-69 hp for mid-wheel hauls, and 70-89 hp were decreasing year-on-year; Market demand for 25-39 spurs, 40-59 hp for middle-wheel hauls, and large-scale tractors with more than 90 hp continued. increase.